NAIROBI, Kenya — The Rigathi Gachagua-led United Opposition political formation enjoys higher public support in Nairobi than the Broad-Based Government, highlighting growing urban discontent and fluid political loyalties ahead of the 2027 general election, according to a new Infotrak Research end-of-year poll.
The Infotrak End of Year Poll – December 2025, conducted among 1,000 respondents across all 47 counties, shows that Nairobi stands out as a key battleground where opposition-aligned formations are resonating more strongly with voters than the current broad-based governing arrangement
While the Broad-Based Government retains notable support nationally, the survey indicates that Nairobi respondents are more inclined towards a United Opposition, reflecting frustrations linked to the cost of living, unemployment, and perceptions of governance in the capital.
According to the poll’s regional breakdown of political formation affiliation, Nairobi voters are less attached to traditional party loyalties and more responsive to issue-based and coalition-driven politics.
Infotrak’s findings suggest that economic pressure is the single most influential factor shaping voter choice nationally, but its impact is more pronounced in urban centres such as Nairobi, where living costs remain highest.
Despite the opposition’s edge in Nairobi, the poll shows no single political formation commanding overwhelming support nationwide. Voter affiliation remains fragmented across regions, genders and age groups, reinforcing the likelihood that coalition-building will be decisive ahead of 2027
A significant 25pc of respondents remain undecided on their presidential preference if elections were held today, underscoring voter caution and the absence of a clear national frontrunner at this stage
However, analysts caution that voter sentiment remains highly volatile, with alliances, leadership choices, and economic performance likely to shift opinions before the next election.
The poll also assessed perceptions of the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC), finding mixed confidence levels following recent by-elections.
