NAIROBI, Kenya – More than 40 counties are expected to receive above-average rainfall in November, with the Kenya Meteorological Department warning of heightened flood and landslide risks as heavy downpours continue to affect several parts of the country.
In its November 2026 monthly climate outlook, the department forecast above-average rainfall across much of Kenya, including Nairobi, Mombasa, Kisumu, Nakuru, Kiambu, Machakos, Meru, Garissa and other counties.
Parts of Turkana, West Pokot, Samburu, Baringo and Marsabit are expected to experience near-average to above-average rainfall.
The forecast places the country at risk of further weather-related emergencies during the October-November-December short rains season, with vulnerable communities facing possible flooding, damage to infrastructure and transport disruptions.
The department identified low-lying coastal areas, flood-prone river basins, urban centres with inadequate drainage and steep highland areas as particularly vulnerable.
Flood Emergencies Already Reported in Several Counties
The November outlook comes as emergency response teams deal with flooding incidents in different parts of the country.
In Nairobi, heavy rainfall has left sections of major roads submerged, disrupting movement and leaving motorists stranded.
Githurai Roundabout along Thika Road was among the affected locations, while flooding was also reported in Parklands, particularly along First Avenue near Oshwal School. Sections of Uhuru Highway and Waiyaki Way experienced heavy surface runoff.
In Narok County, the Mara River burst its banks following heavy upstream rainfall, causing flooding in parts of Trans Mara.
A lorry was reportedly swept away while attempting to cross the flooded Mararianda Bridge, prompting search and rescue operations for passengers feared missing.
Several homes and livestock were also affected by rising water levels in villages including Emburgutio.
In Kajiado South, emergency teams were conducting rescue operations in Baraka, Olkaria Village, following reports that a resident had been swept away while attempting to cross an overflowing river.
Further east, rising water levels along the Tana River have raised concerns for communities living in low-lying settlements in Tana River and Garissa counties.
Coastal areas, including Lamu and Kilifi, also remain exposed to heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding.
The Kenya Red Cross Society and other emergency response teams have been involved in operations in affected areas.
November Rains Could Disrupt Transport and Infrastructure
The meteorological department warned that intense rainfall could trigger flash floods, riverine flooding, landslides and damage to infrastructure.
Urban areas with poor drainage systems face the risk of waterlogging and traffic disruption, while rural access roads could become impassable, affecting the movement of people, goods and essential services.
Communities living near rivers and other flood-prone areas have also been urged to remain alert as water levels rise.
The forecast highlights the importance of monitoring official weather updates and taking precautionary measures before conditions deteriorate.
Residents Urged to Avoid Floodwaters
Residents have been advised to avoid crossing flooded roads, bridges and swollen rivers, even where water levels may appear manageable.
Those living in areas threatened by rising water levels should move to safer ground and follow instructions from emergency response agencies.
Motorists have also been cautioned against attempting to drive through flooded sections of roads, where strong currents and concealed road damage can put lives at risk.
With November expected to bring above-average rainfall across much of the country, authorities and communities face the challenge of managing an already active flood situation while preparing for further downpours.
